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Red27
43816.5
276715.0
44092.9
Blue14
207512.6
36176.2
43917.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192101030405060702714

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.4
12.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2075
#21
12.60.3
11.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4381
#15
6.50.4
2.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
4391
#16
7.10.3
4.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4409
#36
2.90.4
3.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3617
#30
6.20.3
4.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End