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Red28
36391.7
44085.0
295912.6
Blue6
354615.3
43951.6
36176.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419010304050286

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#11
12.60.7
8.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3546
#26
15.30.6
14.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4408
#33
5.00.7
3.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3617
#30
6.20.6
4.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3639
#38
1.70.7
2.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4395
#22
1.61.1
0.7-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End