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Red19
43917.1
44092.9
24512.9
Blue25
5038.4
362010.2
43951.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18160510253035401925

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#8
12.90.0
11.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3620
#10
10.20.5
10.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4391
#16
7.10.0
3.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
503
#14
8.40.5
5.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4409
#36
2.90.0
3.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4395
#22
1.60.7
-0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End