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Red15
31413.6
44092.9
43929.4
Blue49
24512.9
295912.6
354711.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2631010204050601549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
13.60.6
13.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
245
#8
12.90.9
11.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4392
#25
9.40.6
9.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2959
#11
12.60.9
10.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4409
#36
2.90.6
3.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
3547
#13
11.30.9
9.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End