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Red27
4949.5
11894.6
24512.9
Blue0
43375.1
15286.8
36176.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2518010304050270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#8
12.90.0
12.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1528
#23
6.80.9
7.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#20
9.50.0
9.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3617
#30
6.20.9
5.44.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1189
#35
4.60.0
4.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
5.10.9
5.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End