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Red11
34528.3
36027.9
43892.5
Blue44
295912.6
43917.1
31413.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19310104050601144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#32
8.30.4
8.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
314
#12
13.60.7
12.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3602
#28
7.90.4
7.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
2959
#11
12.60.7
11.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4389
#29
2.50.4
3.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4391
#16
7.10.7
6.47.1
Auto
Teleop
End