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Red38
43816.5
354615.3
85814.7
Blue35
276715.0
247428.1
36176.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36480102030406070803835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#26
15.30.0
15.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
2474
#17
28.10.2
27.627.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
858
#9
14.70.0
14.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
15.00.2
14.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4381
#15
6.50.0
6.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3617
#30
6.20.2
5.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End