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Red6
5388.8
39721.5
36754.6
Blue41
35164.2
38243.4
275111.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161605102025303540641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
#2
8.80.2
9.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2751
#15
11.40.5
11.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.60.2
4.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
4.20.6
3.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3972
#14
1.50.2
1.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3824
#33
3.40.5
2.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End