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Red6
38562.2
38243.4
43060.8
Blue0
10386.4
31402.6
39721.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110510152060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#33
3.40.5
5.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1038
#12
6.41.0
6.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3856
#40
2.20.5
3.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3140
#34
2.61.0
2.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4306
#10
0.80.5
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3972
#14
1.51.0
2.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End