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Red6
43963.1
38443.8
28564.3
Blue2
14662.4
4620.3
38211.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions510015202530354062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.30.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1466
#46
2.40.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3844
#24
3.80.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3821
#44
1.30.6
3.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4396
#45
3.10.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
462
#53
0.30.6
2.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End