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Red32
37833.1
275111.4
36754.6
Blue2
42643.3
39660.5
12493.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147051020253035322

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2751
#15
11.41.2
9.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
4264
#54
3.30.3
2.11.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.61.4
3.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1249
#51
3.00.3
3.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3783
#37
3.11.3
1.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3966
#26
0.50.3
0.80.5
Auto
Teleop
End