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Red19
39843.3
23415.4
43060.8
Blue3
32593.9
39660.5
5476.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169020304050193

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#18
15.40.1
12.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
547
#31
6.10.6
5.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3984
#43
3.30.5
3.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3259
#16
3.90.6
1.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4306
#10
0.82.0
0.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3966
#26
0.51.7
0.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End