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Red2
43462.4
4185.5
18654.9
Blue22
25829.2
399712.8
42712.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91305152025303540222

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#20
5.50.3
4.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
3997
#15
12.80.8
6.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1865
#49
4.90.5
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2582
#12
9.20.8
3.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4346
#32
2.40.5
0.3-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4271
#38
2.90.8
2.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End