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Red35
4417.7
180111.4
42712.9
Blue22
29523.3
23112.3
28816.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17220103040503522

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.41.4
9.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
231
#19
12.30.0
12.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
441
#9
7.70.9
5.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2881
#18
6.70.0
5.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4271
#38
2.91.4
3.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2952
#39
3.30.0
4.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End