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Red9
27738.1
41554.9
30164.5
Blue18
28826.9
42801.7
12556.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139051520253035918

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2773
#29
8.10.4
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2882
#40
6.90.8
2.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4155
#30
4.90.4
3.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1255
#34
6.30.8
5.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3016
#51
4.50.4
3.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4280
#31
1.70.8
1.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End