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Red28
23112.3
4417.7
29693.9
Blue10
25879.2
20721.9
33358.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22160103040502810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#19
12.30.3
12.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2587
#48
9.20.6
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
441
#9
7.70.3
5.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3335
#24
8.20.3
7.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2969
#13
3.90.3
3.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2072
#22
1.90.6
0.60.0
Auto
Teleop
End