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Red46
38476.0
41554.9
147722.6
Blue21
25879.2
18654.9
28816.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3015010204050604621

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.8
20.921.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
2587
#48
9.20.4
7.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
#44
6.00.8
4.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2881
#18
6.70.4
5.86.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4155
#30
4.91.2
4.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1865
#49
4.90.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End