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Red31
310311.7
4185.5
43012.3
Blue14
8327.6
4417.7
42801.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1516051020253035403114

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3103
#11
11.70.8
9.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
441
#9
7.70.1
6.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
418
#20
5.50.8
5.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
832
#16
7.60.1
8.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4301
#36
2.31.1
0.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
4280
#31
1.70.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End