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Red18
39921.4
30063.8
212215.0
Blue41
323014.6
24037.8
32458.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41240102030506070801841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#1
21.40.4
21.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
3230
#13
14.60.3
12.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.00.4
15.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3245
#16
8.00.3
6.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3006
#26
3.80.5
4.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2403
#11
7.80.3
5.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End