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Red35
34836.9
24845.8
41538.3
Blue15
18915.4
47310.3
32394.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1720510152530353515

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#14
8.30.3
7.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
473
#27
10.30.1
10.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.90.3
5.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1891
#39
5.40.1
5.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.80.3
4.54.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
4.20.1
4.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End