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Red6
323014.6
32882.3
27896.1
Blue15
34836.9
29938.9
42510.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9170515202530615

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#13
14.60.2
4.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
8.90.2
8.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.10.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
6.90.2
6.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3288
#40
2.30.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4251
#23
0.50.2
3.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End