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Red7
33344.8
41783.3
43105.1
Blue23
41063.6
42684.9
32513.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101051520723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4310
#30
5.10.2
3.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4268
#41
4.91.1
3.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3334
#18
4.80.2
1.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3251
#33
3.61.1
3.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4178
#29
3.30.2
4.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4106
#20
3.61.1
2.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End