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Red38
43441.9
32436.5
39921.4
Blue22
47310.3
29938.9
33743.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21140510253035403822

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#1
21.40.8
16.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
473
#27
10.30.6
5.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3243
#32
6.51.4
3.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
8.90.6
8.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4344
#37
1.91.4
1.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3374
#28
3.40.6
1.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End