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Red29
39921.4
32394.2
41538.3
Blue3
24037.8
43485.9
43105.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271205152025303540293

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#1
21.40.1
17.117.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
2403
#11
7.80.7
5.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4153
#14
8.30.1
5.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4348
#17
5.90.7
3.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4.20.1
4.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4310
#30
5.10.7
2.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End