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Red33
212215.0
41752.9
21964.2
Blue20
34567.6
323014.6
18915.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18170103040503320

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.01.1
14.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3230
#13
14.60.3
6.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2196
#43
4.21.1
3.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
3456
#24
7.60.3
6.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4175
#38
2.91.1
1.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1891
#39
5.40.3
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End