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Red0
41063.6
39603.1
43485.9
Blue5
32458.0
323014.6
41783.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811051520253005

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4348
#17
5.93.9
5.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
3230
#13
14.60.5
4.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4106
#20
3.61.6
3.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3245
#16
8.00.5
3.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3960
#22
3.11.1
3.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4178
#29
3.31.1
3.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End