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Red40
39921.4
30063.8
32252.4
Blue3
39603.1
41752.9
32458.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22130510152025303540403

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#1
21.40.9
18.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
3245
#16
8.00.7
6.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3006
#26
3.81.4
2.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3960
#22
3.10.8
2.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3225
#25
2.41.3
1.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4175
#38
2.90.7
3.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End