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Red11
27896.1
42510.5
115812.8
Blue7
41063.6
25940.5
32436.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1912051525303540117

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.80.6
12.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
3243
#32
6.50.4
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.10.4
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4106
#20
3.60.3
5.04.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4251
#23
0.50.6
1.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2594
#42
0.50.3
0.90.5
Auto
Teleop
End