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Red41
39603.1
133210.6
34567.6
Blue14
47310.3
32891.6
24868.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17210510253035404114

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1332
#10
10.61.6
9.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
473
#27
10.30.4
9.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3456
#24
7.61.6
6.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2486
#15
8.70.4
8.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3960
#22
3.11.6
1.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3289
#36
1.60.4
2.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End