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Red16
18915.4
39603.1
32436.5
Blue2
34052.1
33344.8
25940.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148051020253035162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3243
#32
6.50.1
6.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3334
#18
4.80.4
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1891
#39
5.40.1
5.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3405
#31
2.10.4
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3960
#22
3.10.1
3.03.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2594
#42
0.50.4
0.80.5
Auto
Teleop
End