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Red18
41836.3
27896.1
24845.8
Blue3
41752.9
32513.6
133210.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15200510253035183

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#21
6.30.2
5.45.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1332
#10
10.60.9
11.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.10.2
5.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3251
#33
3.61.1
4.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.80.2
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
4175
#38
2.91.0
3.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End