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Red6
21865.2
31360.1
4017.3
Blue12
15394.7
19085.4
10331.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119020304050612

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#17
7.30.4
4.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1908
#10
5.40.3
2.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2186
#31
5.20.4
2.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1539
#15
4.70.3
3.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3136
#42
0.10.4
3.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1033
#34
1.20.3
2.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End