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Red9
16109.4
32582.9
6142.9
Blue17
5402.2
42862.6
16999.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109020304050917

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#7Sur
9.40.2
5.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1699
#12
9.70.6
6.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3258
#46
2.90.2
2.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4286
#30
2.60.6
1.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
614
#39
2.90.2
3.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
540
#54Sur
2.20.6
1.62.2
Auto
Teleop
End