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Red10
42862.6
20211.9
16109.4
Blue9
4050.5
10865.9
17934.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10160520253035109

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.40.1
5.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1086
#29
5.90.5
8.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4286
#30
2.60.1
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1793
#19
4.60.5
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2021
#59
1.90.1
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
405
#58
0.50.5
2.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End