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Red3
15394.7
39480.9
31682.0
Blue11
154110.9
6192.5
18957.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9190515253035311

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1539
#15
4.70.4
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
10.90.7
9.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3168
#26
2.00.4
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
7.00.4
7.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3948
#41
0.90.4
1.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
619
#11
2.50.7
2.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End