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Red38
12588.5
21478.2
129410.6
Blue40
37119.8
36627.5
151012.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2626010203040503840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.60.2
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1510
#10
12.10.2
11.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1258
#22
8.50.2
8.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3711
#15
9.80.2
8.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
8.20.2
8.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3662
#13
7.50.3
6.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End