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Red6
38252.1
41313.4
36012.9
Blue0
41803.7
29295.8
39688.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181203040506060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#7
12.90.8
12.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
8.61.0
7.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4131
#40
3.41.0
2.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
5.81.0
3.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3825
#26
2.11.0
2.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
4180
#33
3.71.0
1.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End