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Red15
21478.2
25551.4
29306.5
Blue9
30705.0
26059.7
32372.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1113051015202530159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#3Sur
8.20.3
3.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2605
#11
9.70.3
7.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2930
#21
6.50.3
4.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3070
#30Sur
5.00.4
4.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2555
#31
1.40.3
3.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3237
#44
2.10.4
1.00.6
Auto
Teleop
End