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Red6
36818.4
33906.2
26601.2
Blue12
32372.1
41313.4
39957.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions940152025303540612

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#16
8.40.3
5.04.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3995
#12
7.00.5
1.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3390
#18
6.20.3
1.31.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4131
#40
3.40.7
1.52.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2660
#25
1.20.3
3.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3237
#44
2.10.7
0.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End