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Red10
151012.1
41803.7
32372.1
Blue35
36634.3
25226.4
204617.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1020030401035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1510
#10
12.10.0
7.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
17.40.8
12.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4180
#33
3.70.0
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
6.41.3
2.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3237
#44
2.10.0
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3663
#28
4.31.3
3.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End