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Red1
26601.2
29806.4
41313.4
Blue52
21478.2
13189.2
204617.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102602030405060152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2980
#39
6.40.8
3.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
17.41.3
15.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4131
#40
3.40.8
3.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
9.22.2
6.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2660
#25
1.20.8
3.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
8.22.2
4.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End