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Red21
36818.4
25226.4
32219.1
Blue24
247113.9
26601.2
30705.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16200510253035402124

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3221
#20
9.10.5
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
13.90.1
11.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3681
#16
8.40.5
4.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
3070
#30
5.00.2
6.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.40.5
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2660
#25
1.20.2
2.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End