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Red25
26059.7
25226.4
37870.9
Blue13
35752.5
13189.2
40607.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14170102030402513

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2605
#11
9.70.6
8.69.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
9.20.3
8.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.40.7
5.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4060
#35
7.40.3
6.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3787
#37
0.90.7
-0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3575
#46
2.50.3
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End