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Red9
29764.6
30705.0
41803.7
Blue15
37863.9
29295.8
33906.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161401020304050915

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#30
5.00.6
6.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3390
#18
6.20.0
5.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2976
#38
4.60.5
5.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
5.80.0
4.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4180
#33
3.70.4
4.13.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3786
#17
3.90.0
4.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End