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Red29
29053.6
37119.8
36012.9
Blue5
37863.9
36634.3
30705.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231501020304050295

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#7
12.90.3
11.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
3070
#30
5.00.7
5.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3711
#15
9.80.3
7.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
3663
#28
4.30.7
4.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2905
#45
3.60.4
3.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3786
#17
3.90.6
4.74.1
Auto
Teleop
End