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Red16
281110.8
40305.4
33938.8
Blue4
29273.5
38131.0
29064.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138010203040164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#12
10.80.1
5.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2906
#38
4.40.3
2.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3393
#14
8.80.2
6.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2927
#35
3.50.3
3.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4030
#40
5.40.2
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3813
#29
1.00.3
1.81.5
Auto
Teleop
End