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Red3
4173-0.7
40305.4
26356.9
Blue10
38262.4
40380.4
28989.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10114681214310

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#20
6.90.5
5.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
9.70.0
4.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4030
#40
5.43.3
5.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3826
#16
2.40.0
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4173
#23
-0.72.7
-0.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4038
#42
0.42.2
0.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End