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Red31
29064.4
7537.8
142512.6
Blue16
24114.6
40896.0
30491.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211103040503116

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#18
12.60.5
11.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
4089
#26
6.00.5
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
753
#6
7.80.5
7.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2411
#44
4.60.3
3.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2906
#38
4.40.8
3.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3049
#34
1.70.5
2.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End