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Red15
29078.0
38131.0
32389.9
Blue18
28989.7
41647.0
29273.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18160103040501518

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#24
9.90.3
9.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
9.70.1
7.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2907
#15
8.00.3
6.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
4164
#11
7.00.2
4.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3813
#29
1.00.3
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2927
#35
3.50.2
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End