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Red22
26356.9
38015.8
29289.6
Blue23
16225.3
32389.9
7537.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1622010203040502223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#25
9.60.3
6.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3238
#24
9.90.0
9.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2635
#20
6.90.2
5.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
753
#6
7.80.0
6.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3801
#36
5.80.3
5.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1622
#21
5.30.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End